Flip tax revenue falls further behind inflated budget forecasts

Don't count those chickens before they hatch.
Don’t count those chickens before they hatch.
Flip tax revenue for March and April continued to come in under the inflated forecasts of the board’s pre-election budget, creating a $1 million deficit on the current fiscal year.*

According to assistant general manager Shulie Wollman, flip tax income for March and April was $901,500, falling 15% off the budget’s forecasts. With only two months left in the current budget cycle, the coop is likely to fall 23% short of budgeted income, for a $1.3 million deficit.

The shortfall is not because real estate is tanking. Our expected flip tax revenue of $4.4 million would be comparable to income from two years ago, and better than any year prior to 2013. The problem is that the board budgeted for way more income than could be reasonably expected, inflating revenue forecasts in order to mask a looming budget deficit.

This isn’t just obvious in hindsight. We pointed out these inflated forecasts in November when the budget was released, and predicted the current deficit. Board members Lee Berman and Peter Herb voted against the budget specifically because it failed to reflect the coop’s fiscal situation honestly.

pay coop 1000Now that the election is over, Gary Altman and other board members have changed their tune, admitting that their pre-election forecasts were way off base, and raising maintenance to compensate. This year’s maintenance increase, however, can’t pay for last year’s deficit, and the board has yet to explain away the red ink in our 2015-16 ledgers.

* The flip tax numbers I’m citing come from Mr. Wollman in the management office, compared with the board’s published budget from the fall. However, Gary Altman’s recent memo announcing maintenance increases says that the coop’s flip tax shortfall is already $1.5 million. I can’t explain the discrepancy in our figures.

Sell your stuff! East River yard sale coming May 22

1st Annual East River Yard SaleLooking to clean out your closet? Or pick up something useful at a good price? Cooperator Dawn Fox would like to help you out — she’s organizing an East River Coop yard sale on Sunday, May 22.

Interested sellers should email Dawn by May 15 at ERyardsale@gmail.com. Please include:

  • your first and last name,
  • your cell phone number, and
  • your apartment number.

The sale will begin at 10:00 am on May 22nd rain or shine in the basketball courts next to building 2 (573-575-577 Grand St.).

Spaces will be pre-assigned to avoid conflicts.

All are welcome to visit and purchase from the yard sellers, but only East River cooperators who pre-register may sell at the yard sale.

Sellers are responsible for bringing any tables, chairs, or blankets/tarp to sell their wares.

Sellers are also responsible to clean up after themselves at the end of the sale and must remove all debris and unsold items from the yard sale site.

It is recommended that large or delicate items be photographed and the photo or flyer be shown at the sale. This is prefered rather than bringing the actual item which may break or be too unwieldy to bring outside.

Haggling is permitted and expected.

Most importantly, this is a friendly sale to sell unwanted, but usable items to our friends and neighbors in the community.

Let Dawn know if you’re interested: ERyardsale@gmail.com.

Maintenance increase raises more questions than it answers

It’s hard to believe, but just five months ago board president Gary Altman led off the annual report letter by repeating his commitment to not raise maintenance. Yet this month he announced an 11.25% increase, an average of $1000/year, in a memo that failed to fully explain his big about-face.

Even the parts of his memo that make sense run contrary to his recent statements about our finances, obscure the context of our budget deficit, dismiss any responsibility for the situation, and fall short of a long-term solution.

In the end, his explanation for why this increase is necessary raised more questions than it answered. Among the most troubling — since he admits that this year’s increase is not enough to cover rising costs, how large will next year’s increase need to be?

Make no mistake, incumbent board members knew about the coop’s financial situation when they ran for re-election last fall. Emergency repairs on the laundry rooms were almost complete and apartment sales had already cooled, but they used inflated flip tax forecasts to hide the looming budget deficit.

And in the annual report to shareholders, Altman maligned those who saw this coming, including fellow board members, as disruptive, deceptive, and threatening.

We expect an honest, consistent accounting of the coop’s finances from the board. Until we get that we will continue to work for a change in leadership at East River.

Cooperatively yours,

Helena Andreyko
Judi Aronowitz
Richard J. Ciccarello
Amy Eisenberg
Jennifer Feraday
Carol and Thomas Grant
Susan and Stephen Levinson
Virginia Liebowitz
Deborah Mills and
Daniel Rabuzzi
Jessica Reiner
Jeremy Sherber
Melissa Shiffman
Julian Swearengin
Robert Tonozzi


What makes sense — and what does not — about the $1000 maintenance increase

Makes senseDoes not make sense
Running the coop keeps getting more expensive, with “ever increasing real estate taxes, higher union labor costs, higher water rates and insurance.” That’s inevitable. Maintenance has to go up occasionally.The board should anticipate inflation, not be shocked by it. Yet even this big maintenance increase, the board admits, “does not fully take into account the expected increase in” real estate taxes, insurance costs, union contracts, and water rates. Why not?
The current maintenance increase is “not much over 2% a year over the past 5 years” — in other words, not excessive. It’s about what you’d expect if we’d had cost of living increases each year to match inflation (which is exactly what many coops do).For years, board members running for re-election have congratulated themselves for not raising maintenance and insisted that opposing candidates will. Now they brush off this big increase by saying it’s as if they’d been raising maintenance all along.
“Ideally flip tax revenue should not be used to balance the budget as it is an ever changing number.” The flip tax is what’s called extraordinary income — it’s undependable — and should never be counted in a budget the same as ordinary, predictable income.This board has been relying on flip tax revenue every year to balance the budget and finally got caught. This has to stop. Some baseline level may be anticipated, but counting on a windfall every year to save the day is a recipe for failure.
The new sublet policy ”has already resulted in the sale of 2 sublet apartments whose owners did not want to pay the new higher fees upon their yearly renewal. This has brought in $75,000 in flip tax revenue.” It’s true, some new owners with mortgages can’t afford those new fees and may decide to sell instead of sublet.Original owners with no mortgage, on the other hand, or their heirs, have no incentive to sell when they stop living here. They can make a good profit as landlords even with slightly higher fees. Compare that $75,000 flip tax gain to the $1,500,000 flip tax loss over the same time — the new sublet policy is losing, 20 to 1.

Yuh-Line Niou won East River

Yuh-Line Niou
Yuh-Line Niou
The precinct results are now in for the special election last week, and, even though Alice Cancel carried the day, Yuh-Line Niou carried East River.

Also of interest, the Republican candidate, Lester Chang, picked up 260208 votes even though there were only 79 voters in the Republican primary. He obviously impressed a lot of unaffiliated voters.

CANCEL (D)CHANG (R)LEVY (G)NIOU (WF)
Bldg 1 / ED 441386714158
Bldg 2 / ED 451525015142
Bldg 3 / ED 47973410149
Bldg 4 / ED 46104574129
TOTAL49120843578

Help spruce up Corlears Hook Park — Sunday noon – 2 pm

Spring flowers at Corlears Hook Park. Photo by Andrea DiFiore.
Spring flowers at Corlears Hook Park. Photo by Andrea DiFiore.
It’s My Park Day!
Sunday, April 24
Noon – 2 pm

Join Friends of Corlears Hook Park on Sunday for their annual It’s My Park Spring Clean-up! Volunteers are needed to help beautify the park by weeding, raking leaves, painting benches and planters, spreading fresh wood chip in the dog runs, and planting.

They’ll provide all the tools necessary to get the work done, as well and some snacks and water — all you need to bring is your smiling face and helpful hands (even if you only have 20 minutes to help out). Please wear comfortable clothes that you wouldn’t mind getting dirty.

While you’re there, take a look at the huge improvements made over the past couple days as part of the Mayor’s Community Parks Initiative (CPI).

The bill comes due: You owe $1000

pay coop 1000

The board of directors today announced an average maintenance hike of $1000 per year for each apartment in the coop to raise $1.7 million in revenue.

The coop’s budget for 2015-2016 inflated flip tax forecasts to cover the predictable deficit; now that flip tax revenue has indeed fallen short, the need to increase revenue is impossible to ignore.

Regular expenses like property taxes, labor, and insurance continue to increase year after year; it’s natural that our income would need to increase to match. Over the last five years, the board has relied on flip tax revenue and bank loans to cover the difference. With flip tax revenue not cooperating this year, the board decided it was finally time to increase maintenance.

Here is the memo from today announcing the increase:
Continue reading The bill comes due: You owe $1000

Alice Cancel wins Assembly seat

Alice Cancel
Alice Cancel

Alice Cancel won 39.2% of the vote in yesterday’s special election for Sheldon Silver’s NYS Assembly seat, enough to put her on top and give her the seat at least through the end of 2016.

Despite raising much more money and attracting establishment endorsements from Democratic elected officials, traditional Democratic unions, and the New York Times, Yuh-Line Niou, on the Working Families Party line, won only 33.6%. Republican Lester Chang won 18.9%; Green Party candidate Dennis Levy won 3.6%.

AD65 results
Click for larger view.

Meanwhile, in the presidential primary, the state’s winners (Clinton and Trump) also prevailed at East River Coop:

Democratic results

ClintonSandersClinton %
Bldg 1 / ED 4420114558%
Bldg 2 / ED 4520413560%
Bldg 3 / ED 4714810259%
Bldg 4 / ED 461469860%
Total69948059%

Republican results

TrumpKasichCruzTrump %
Bldg 1 / ED 44214181%
Bldg 2 / ED 45154179%
Bldg 3 / ED 4736325%
Bldg 4 / ED 46136262%
Total5220766%

Video: AD65 candidates meet on NY1

NY1 debate AD65

NY1’s Errol Louis sat down this evening with all four candidates for assembly district 65. The debate is brief — only 20 minutes — but if you haven’t had a chance to make your own impression of the candidates, this might be your best chance. There’s some serious policy discussion, plus some frivolous questions. Take a look.

Huge fundraising disparity in AD65 race

State finance reports for the special election were filed 32 days and 11 days before election day, showing what campaigns have raised and spent. The 11-day pre-special election reports were made public this morning. Here’s a very quick review:

Alice Cancel raised $501 in the past three weeks — for a total of $4,316 raised and $3,736 cash on hand.

  • By far her largest contribution has been $3,000 from United Service Workers United.
  • Other contributions have been small ($100 or less) mostly from addresses down Madison, Monroe, and Cherry Streets where Cancel lives.

Link to Cancel’s state finance reports.

Lester Chang raised $37,230 in the past three weeks — for a total of $46,400 raised and $27,822 cash on hand.

  • Chang raised about $16,000 from small businesses outside the assembly district.
  • Individual contributions range from $5 to $2,000, mostly from zip codes outside the district.

Link to Chang’s state finance reports.

Yuh-Line Niou raised $40,791 in the past three weeks — for a total of $162,185 raised and $134,716 cash on hand.

  • Approximately 25% of Niou’s contributors in the past three weeks live in the district.
  • Niou has had a large amount of financial support from unions.

Link to Niou’s state finance reports.


The disparity between Cancel and Niou in particular is astounding to me — Niou has raised 37 times what Cancel has. Niou has enough on hand for a robust get-out-the-vote operation and mail, especially considering her support from unions like SEIU, UFT, and HTC that will likely spend their own PAC money on mail this week.

But don’t count Cancel out. Despite anemic fundraising under her own name, the Democratic nominee is likely to see her campaign run by the NYS DACC (Democratic Assembly Campaign Committee), which as of January (the committee’s last state finance report) had $1.2 million cash on hand, including hundreds of thousands of dollars from unions now supporting Niou.

Special election volunteer opportunities

Candidates for the special election next week to replace Sheldon Silver are looking for volunteers.

Alice Cancel
Alice Cancel
The campaign of Alice Cancel (D) is looking for help on election day (Tuesday, April 19) handing out flyers at polling sites. If you are interested, go to campaign headquarters at 34 Monroe Street to sign up, or email electalicecancel@gmail.com.

Lester Chang
Lester Chang
Lester Chang (R) has a signup form on his website with a few volunteer options, including Walk in the District for Lester Chang, Volunteer to Get Out The Vote, and Be a Poll Worker.

Yuh-Line Niou
Yuh-Line Niou
The local organizer for Yuh-Line Niou (WFP) sent me a more detailed message to share with cooperators. The campaign is organizing phone banks and door-to-door campaigning on the following days:

  • Friday, April 15th, 12pm – 9pm
  • Saturday, April 16th, 12pm – 9pm
  • Sunday, April 17th, 12pm – 9pm
  • Monday, April 18th, 12pm – 9pm
  • Election Day — Tuesday, April 19th, 6am – 9pm

If you’re interested, contact Coop Village Organizer David Weinberg at 917-232-4917 or email him at dmweinberg1@gmail.com for more information and to schedule a time to volunteer.